Standard Presentation 2024 Australian Marine Sciences Association Annual Meeting combined with NZMSS

Climate change is warming and acidifing Australian estuaries with consequences for oyster aquaculture (#372)

Elliot Scanes 1 , Peter Scanes 2 , Nahshon Siboni 1 , Laura Parker 3 , Justin Seymour 1 , Pauline Ross 4
  1. Climate Change Cluster, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW, Australia
  2. NSW Department of Planning and Environment, Sydney, NSW, Australia
  3. School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Kensington, NSW, Australia
  4. School of Life and Environmental Sciences, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia

Estuaries are diverse ecosystems vital to land-ocean connectivity; and yet until now, we have lacked information on their response to climate change. We present data on climate change in Australian estuaries over twelve-years, spanning >1500 kilometres of the Australian coastline. We also investigate how this change may affect oyster aquaculture. From 2007- 2019, We found estuaries to have warmed by 2.16oC on average, at a rate of 0.2°C year-1, with waters acidifying at a rate of 0.09 pH units. These changes are an order of magnitude faster than predicted by global models. Importantly, the response of estuaries is dependent on their morphology and catchment development; lagoons, followed by rivers, are warming and acidifying the fastest due to high surface-area to volume ratios and low oceanic exchange. Warming and acidification in estuaries, spanning several bioregions, indicates change on a continental scale, and of a magnitude that is likely to affect the physiological and microbial function of oysters. Manipulative experiments exposing oysters to elevated temperatures (+ 4 °C) and acidification (pH 7.8) have demonstrated increased metabolic rates, decreased extracellular pH and increases in potentially pathogenic bacteria. Taken together, these findings show an urgent need to protect estuaries and the industries they support.